We all know that former President Donald Trump and West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin are on opposite sides of the fence. One is clearly a Republican, while the other is a Democrat. But now, that divide has widened even more with the recently proposed and House-approved Inflation Reduction Act.
The bill is basically a knock-off of the previously proposed Democratic agenda, “Build Back Better.” As you likely know, the first version failed to pass muster in the Senate, where the ruling majority really gets the one tie-breaking vote of Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. To blame for this failure are two Democratic senators, Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona.
According to both, it was too much and tended to focus on issues that really wouldn’t solve or do anything. They both also know that no matter what their own opinion is, what really matters is that of their constituents. It is noted that both West Virginia and Arizona tend to be a bit right-leaning.
Or at least we hope that played into why they helped shut Build Back Better down.
However, the new Inflation Reduction Act seems to be a bit more agreeable to both.
Manchin recently made an announcement saying that he agreed with the sweeping social spending bill and would vote for it when it came time to put it to a vote. Naturally, the rest of his Democratic colleagues were overjoyed to hear so. The next task would be to convince the only other outlier, Sinema, to do the same.
And much to our chagrin, she did last week, thanks in large part to the urging of Manchin and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.
This means that when the bill is actually put to a vote in the coming weeks, it will more than likely go through. In fact, on Saturday, the Upper House even approved a procedural motion to push the bill forward.
But if that happens, Donald Trump says disaster could strike for both Manchin and Sinema.
He says, “if this deal passes, they will both lose their next election.”
For Sinema, that means that come November, she could be out of a job. For Manchin, that ousting will have to wait until 2024.
He went on to explain why he thinks that, saying they will both lose because neither of their states will “stand for that.”
And he could be quite right.
As I alluded to earlier, both states tend to be a bit more right-leaning than some. In fact, Joe Manchin’s West Virginia is a deep red state and has been for some time. In 2020, when Trump ran against Joe Biden for the presidency, Trump won the state by almost 40 percentage points. As a battleground state with all the alleged election fraud problems, Arizona is a bit harder to tie down exactly.
Regardless, Trump’s statement about neither state being all that much for the proposed spending bill is likely correct.
As he says, Manchin, in particular, has “sold out” his state.
And that’s why Trump says he’ll lose his next election. Of course, Trump took it to the next level by saying he would personally “go down and campaign against him as hard as anybody can.”
Then again, he might not really have to.
As you know, 2022 is gearing up to give Democrats a massive blow during the midterm elections. It is expected that both majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives will be flipped to the GOP in November. From there, you can bet that the Republicans won’t give up their newly attained seats easily. They also are already making plans for the next major election cycle, in which they hope to place another Republican president in the White House.
But along with retaking the executive branch, Senate GOP Conference Chair John Barrasso of Wyoming says they will be extremely “focused” on flipping seats like Manchin’s come 2024.
Of course, Manchin doesn’t think Trump’s threats will hurt him much.
In fact, according to him, Trump may actually “help” him. He pointed to 2018, when Trump got involved, saying that it “helped me so I got elected them, so maybe he’ll help me again,” according to Fox News.
In either case, it’s not likely that either West Virginians or Arizonans will be thrilled about Manchin and Sinema choosing party over them. And like Trump says, that could cost them an election.